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2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

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2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

← 2020 TBD 2024 2028 →

Previous Republican nominee

Donald Trump

Presumptive Republican nominee

N/A

The 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses will presumably allow voters to elect binding delegates to that year's nominating convention, who will, in turn, select the Republican Party's presidential candidate in the 2024 presidential election.

Candidates[edit]

Potential candidates[edit]

Publicly expressed interest[edit]

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

  • Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)[1][2]

Other potential candidates[edit]

The following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the last six months.

  • Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas (2015–present)[3]
  • Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts (2015-present)[4][5]
  • Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present); U.S. Representative from Arkansas (2013–2015)[6][7]
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present); 2016 presidential candidate[8][9]
  • Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018); Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[10][11]
  • Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–present)[12][13]
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011-present); 2016 presidential candidate[14][15]
  • Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States (2017–present); Governor of Indiana (2013–2017); U.S. Representative from Indiana (2001–2013)[16][17]
  • Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State; Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018); U.S. Representative from Kansas (2011–2017)[18][19]
  • Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida (2011–present)[20][21]
  • Ben Sasse, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2015-present)[22][23]
  • Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present); Governor of Florida (2011–2019)[20][24]
  • Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present); U.S. Representative from South Carolina (2011–2013)[25][26]
  • Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[27][28][29]
  • Donald Trump Jr., businessman and eldest son of President Trump[30][31]
  • Eric Trump, businessman and second son of President Trump[30][31]

Declined to be candidates[edit]

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

  • Tucker Carlson, talk show host on Fox News (2009–present)[32][33]
  • Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present); U.S. Representative from Florida (2013–2018)[20][34]
  • Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from FL-01 (2017–present)[35][20]
  • Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019-present)[36]
  • Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota (2019–present); U.S. Representative from South Dakota (2011–2019)[37][38]
  • Mitt Romney, U.S. Senator from Utah (2019–present); Governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007); 2012 presidential nominee[39][40]
  • Dan Patrick, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (2015–present)[41]
  • Ivanka Trump, Senior Advisor to the President of the United States (2017–present); eldest daughter of President Trump[42][43]
  • Scott Walker, former Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019)[44][45]

Primary election polling[edit]

Nationwide polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Tucker
Carlson
Tom
Cotton
Dan
Crenshaw
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Josh
Hawley
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Kevin
McCarthy
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Paul
Ryan
Ben
Sasse
Rick
Scott
Tim
Scott
Elise
Stefanik
Donald
Trump
Donald
Trump Jr.
Ivanka
Trump
Other Undecided
Nov 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 8% 2% 30% 5% 2% 1% 1% 20% 2% 21%
YouGov/Washington Examiner Oct 30, 2020 – (RV)[lower-alpha 2] 38% 43%[lower-alpha 3]
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 7% 0% 1% 2% 26% 5% 0% 1% 0% 12% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 29%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 390 (LV) 7% 8% 11% 2% 31% 3% 9% 5% 4% 17% 3%

Statewide polling[edit]

Maine primary[edit]

In Maine's 2nd congressional district[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Marco
Rubio
Ivanka
Trump
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
Jan 3, 2023 Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
Nov 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA / FairVote Jun 30 – Jul 6, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.1% 12% 12% 30% 6% 7% 11% 21%

Timeline[edit]

2020[edit]

  • November 9: President Trump forms the "Save America Leadership PAC", which could morph into a second reelection campaign.[46]
  • November 12: The Hill reports that President Trump is considering announcing a campaign shortly after congressional certification of a Biden victory in January.[27]

2021[edit]

January 20: The Trump administration ends and President Donald Trump will leave the White House.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. 1.0 1.1 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
  3. Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
  4. "Someone else" with 3%

References[edit]

  1. Goddard, Taegan (July 13, 2020). "Chris Christie May Run for President In 2024". Political Wire. Archived from the original on July 14, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  2. Johnson, Brent (July 15, 2020). "Will Chris Christie run for president in 2024? Ex-N.J. governor says he wouldn't rule it out". New Jersey.com. Archived from the original on July 14, 2020. Retrieved July 15, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  3. Engel, John (November 12, 2020). "Gov. Greg Abbott on 2024 presidential bid: 'We'll see what happens'". KXAN. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
  4. Kilgore, Ed (July 23, 2020). "The Future of the Republican Party Isn't in the Dead Center". Intelligencer. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  5. Lucas, Peter (October 27, 2020). "Charlie Baker should be careful about biting the federal hand that might help the state". The Lowell Sun. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  6. Steinhauser, Paul (July 16, 2020). "Cotton to visit New Hampshire later this month, stirring more 2024 speculatio". Fox News. Archived from the original on July 27, 2020. Retrieved July 29, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  7. Wilkinson, Francis (June 4, 2020). "Tom Cotton Declares His Candidacy for 2024". Bloomberg Quint. Archived from the original on June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  8. Henderson, Alex (July 24, 2020). "Ted Cruz and Tom Cotton clash: A bitter battle for the post-Trump throne". Salon. Archived from the original on July 29, 2020. Retrieved July 29, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  9. Hohmann, James (July 23, 2020). "The Daily 202: Cruz vs. Cotton clash on coronavirus deficits may preview 2024 contest for post-Trump GOP". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 29, 2020. Retrieved July 29, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  10. Lynch, James (October 2020). "Will Nikki Haley run for president in 2024? Plenty of time to decide, she says in Iowa visit". The Gazette. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  11. Strauss, Daniel (July 10, 2020). "Nikki Haley positions herself to lead the post-Trump Republican party". The Guardian. Archived from the original on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 12, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  12. Barker, Jeff (July 15, 2020). "Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan's memoir could foreshadow 2024 presidential bid". The Baltimore Sun. Archived from the original on July 18, 2020. Retrieved July 26, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  13. Broadwater, Luke (July 7, 2020). "Hogan, Maryland Governor, Plans Book Tour as He Eyes 2024 White House Run". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 7, 2020. Retrieved July 7, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  14. Elliot, Philip (August 26, 2020). "Inside and Outside the RNC, the Race for 2024 Is Already Underway". Time. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  15. Bolton, Alexander (September 10, 2020). "2024 GOP presidential rivalries emerge on virus package". The Hill. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  16. Parton, Heather Digby (July 10, 2020). "Looks like Mike Pence wants to salvage his reputation for 2024: Hell to the nope". Salon. Archived from the original on July 20, 2020. Retrieved July 20, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  17. Mason, Jeff; Hepinstall, Sonya (October 31, 2020). "Long in Trump's shadow, Vice President Mike Pence set to emerge". Reuters. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  18. Jakes, Lara (August 25, 2020). "Pompeo Delivers R.N.C. Speech From Israel, With Eye Toward 2024". The New York Times. Archived from the original on September 4, 2020. Retrieved September 4, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  19. Martin, D.G. (October 26, 2020). "A surprise candidate for the 2024 election". The McDowell News. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  20. 20.0 20.1 20.2 20.3 Dixon, Matt (May 22, 2020). "The Presidential Race Florida Is Really Talking About". Politico. Archived from the original on May 26, 2020. Retrieved May 27, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  21. Drucker, David M. (June 25, 2020). "Marco Rubio bolsters 2024 profile with sympathetic approach to racial 'inequities'". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on September 2, 2020. Retrieved October 3, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  22. Chris Cillizza (October 28, 2020). "The 2024 GOP race is *already* happening". CNN. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  23. Sanderford, Aaron (November 3, 2020). "Sen. Ben Sasse wins second term, says Nebraska wants 'straight-shooting' approach". Star-Herald. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  24. Maxwell, Scott (May 27, 2020). "A 'Florida Man' primary in 2024? Rubio, DeSantis, Scott & Gaetz all have ambitions". Orlando Sentinel. Archived from the original on June 5, 2020. Retrieved May 31, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  25. Goba, Kadia (August 25, 2020). "Tim Scott's RNC Speech Introduced One Possible Post-Trump Republican Future". BuzzFeed News. Archived from the original on August 25, 2020. Retrieved August 25, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  26. Lovegrove, Jamie (August 30, 2020). "Haley, Scott speeches stoke speculation about 2024 and questions about GOP's future". Post and Courier. Archived from the original on August 31, 2020. Retrieved September 4, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  27. 27.0 27.1 Castronuovo, Celine (November 12, 2020). "Trump told advisers he could announce 2024 bid shortly after certification of Biden win: report". The Hill. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  28. Alexander, Harriet (November 14, 2020). "Trump 'has told aides he'll announce 2024 candidacy as soon as Biden certified winner'". The Independent. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  29. Isenstadt, Alex (2020-11-16). "4 more years: Trump freezes 2024 presidential field". Politico. Retrieved 2020-11-17. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  30. 30.0 30.1 Solender, Andrew (October 24, 2020). "Trump Sons Hint At 2024 Runs As President's Polling Looks Dire". Forbes. Retrieved November 1, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  31. 31.0 31.1 Spocchia, Gino (November 6, 2020). "Who might run for election in 2024? Trump, AOC, Kamala Harris and more". The Independent. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  32. Thompson, Alex (July 2, 2020). "Tucker Carlson 2024? The GOP is buzzing". Politico. Archived from the original on July 3, 2020. Retrieved July 3, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  33. DeSanctis, Alexandra (July 15, 2019). "Tucker Carlson: 'I Would Be Insane to Run for President'". The National Review. Retrieved October 26, 2020.
  34. Fineout, Gary (August 11, 2020). "DeSantis squelches talk of a White House run". Politico. Archived from the original on October 1, 2020. Retrieved August 11, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  35. Franczak, Erin (February 22, 2020). "Gaetz says he won't run for president in '24". NWF Daily News. Archived from the original on March 2, 2020. Retrieved March 2, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  36. Manu Raju (November 2, 2020). "Republicans eye 2024 White House bids and debate post-Trump era as 2020 election ends". CNN. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  37. Athey, Amber (August 26, 2020). "Kristi Noem, first female president?". The Spectator. Archived from the original on September 3, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  38. Kaczke, Lisa (July 8, 2020). "Gov. Kristi Noem: I don't want to be president in 2024". Sioux Falls Argus-Leader. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved July 26, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  39. Drucker, David M. (January 31, 2020). "Romney positions himself for 2024 White House bid with Trump impeachment criticism". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on July 8, 2020. Retrieved July 1, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  40. Coppins, McKay (February 5, 2020). "How Mitt Romney Decided Trump Is Guilty". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on May 25, 2020. Retrieved May 25, 2020. Just last week, the Washington Examiner ran a story speculating that the senator might be positioning himself for a presidential run in 2024. When I asked Romney about the report, he erupted in laughter. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  41. Wallace, Jeremy (August 26, 2020). "Are these Texans potential 2024 presidential contenders? Hint: One speaks tonight at the RNC". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  42. Kwong, Jessica (March 28, 2019). "Ivanka Trump Is Battling Donald Trump Jr. to Run for President, 'Has a Hissy Fit' When He Gets Good Press: Kushner Book Author". Newsweek. Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  43. Fitzgerald, Sandy (April 5, 2017). "Ivanka Trump Rules Out Presidential Bid for 2024". NewsMax. Archived from the original on July 13, 2020. Retrieved January 5, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  44. Singman, Brooke (February 28, 2020). "Former GOP Gov. Scott Walker floats future presidential bid at CPAC". Fox News. Archived from the original on July 20, 2020. Retrieved July 20, 2020. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  45. Sommerhauser, Mark (October 28, 2018). "What would the next four years bring under Scott Walker or Tony Evers?". AP News. Archived from the original on January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020 – via Wisconsin State Journal. Unknown parameter |url-status= ignored (help)
  46. Haberman, Maggie. "Trump Forms PAC in Hopes of Keeping Hold on G.O.P." New York Times. New York Times. New York Times. Retrieved November 9, 2020.


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