2026 Pernambuco general election
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The 2026 Pernambuco general election will be held in the state of Pernambuco, Brazil, on Sunday 4 October 2026. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, two Senators, 25 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 49 Legislative Assembly members. If no candidate for president or governor receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election is held on 25 October.
Incumbent governor Raquel Lyra of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), elected in 2022 with 58.70% of the vote in the second round, is eligible to run for a second term.[1] Incumbent senators Humberto Costa of the Workers' Party (PT) and Fernando Dueire of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), who assumed Jarbas Vasconcelos' seat upon his retirement, are completing their eight-year terms and are eligible to run for reelection.
Background
Electoral calendar
Note: This section only presents the main dates of the 2026 electoral calendar, check the TSE official website (in Portuguese) and other official sources for detailed information.
| Electoral calendar | |
|---|---|
| 15 May | Start of crowdfunding of candidates |
| 20 July to 5 August | Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitions |
| 16 August to 1 October | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first round |
| 4 October | First round of 2026 elections |
| 9 October to 23 October | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to a possible second round |
| 25 October | Possible second round of 2026 elections |
| until 19 December | Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2026 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice |
Governor
Incumbent governor Raquel Lyra was elected in the second round of the 2022 election with 58.70% of the vote, defeating Marília Arraes of Solidarity. Lyra, a former mayor of Caruaru and state deputy, became the first woman to govern the state, running on a centrist platform that defeated the traditional Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) political machine. Because she is currently serving her first term, she is eligible to run for reelection in 2026.[2]
Lyra governs alongside Vice Governor Priscila Krause, who was elected on the Cidadania ticket in 2022. In a strategic realignment of the state's political forces, Krause affiliated with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) in March 2025, just one day before Governor Lyra left that same party to join the Social Democratic Party (PSD). This coordinated move maintained the coalition's structural integrity while bringing the administration closer to the federal government's base, led by Gilberto Kassab's PSD.[3]
Senator
Senators in Brazil serve an 8-year term, meaning the incumbents were elected in 2018.
Humberto Costa, a physician and former Minister of Health, was ree-elected to the Senate in 2018 as a member of the Workers' Party (PT). A historic leader of the left in the Northeast, he has focused his mandate on public health defense and human rights, first being elected in 2010. He is eligible for reelection and remains a key figure in the state's alliance with the Lula administration.[4]
Fernando Dueire, an economist and civil servant, currently holds the second Senate seat. He was elected in 2018 as the first alternate to veteran politician Jarbas Vasconcelos (MDB). Dueire assumed the office permanently in September 2023 after Vasconcelos retired from public life due to health issues. A long-time technical ally of Jarbas, Dueire has maintained the MDB's representation in the upper house and is eligible to run for a full term.[5][6]
Gubernatorial candidates
Declared candidates
| No. | Governor | Previous office | Vice Governor | Previous office | Coalition | Ref. | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party Federation |
Candidate | Party Federation |
Candidate | |||||||||
| 14 | style="background-color:Template:Mission Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | MISSÃO | File:2026 HALLAIS CANDIDATO GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Renan Hallais | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Mission Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | MISSÃO | File:2026 XAVIER CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Lucas Xavier | No previous office | N/A | [7] |
| 16 | style="background-color:Template:United Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSTU | File:2026 FONSECA CANDIDATO GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Guilherme Fonseca | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:United Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSTU | File:2026 VALERIA CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADORA PE TSE.jpg | Valéria Félix | No previous office | N/A | [8] |
| 29 | style="background-color:Template:Workers' Cause Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PCO | File:2024 VICTOR ASSIS CANDIDATO PREFEITO PE RECIFE TSE (170002309783).jpg | Victor Assis | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Workers' Cause Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PCO | Error creating thumbnail: | TBC | N/A | N/A | [9] |
| 35 | style="background-color:Template:Democrat (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | Democrata | File:2026 JEREMIAS CANDIDATO GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Professor Jeremias | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Democrat (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | Democrata | File:2026 ALBERTO CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Carlos Alberto | No previous office | N/A | [10] |
| 40 | style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;| | PSB | File:2026 CAMPOS CANDIDATO GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | João Campos | Mayor of Recife (2021–2026) |
style="background-color:Template:Republicans (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | REP | File:2026 CARLOS CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Carlos Costa | No previous office | Popular Front of Pernambuco (PSB, REP, FE Brasil (PT, PCdoB and PV), PDT, MDB, Fed. Solidary Renewal (PRD and SD)),MOBILIZA and AGIR |
[11][12][13] |
| 50 | style="background-color:#ED040E;" width=10px | ;| | PSOL Fed. PSOL REDE |
File:2026 MORAES CANDIDATO GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Ivan Moraes | City Councillor of Recife (2017–2021) |
style="background-color:Template:Sustainability Network/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | REDE Fed. PSOL REDE |
File:2026 GABINO CANDIDATA VICE GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Alice Gabino | No previous office | Pernambuco Fighting Front (Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL and REDE) and PCB) |
[14][15][16] |
| 55 | style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSD | File:2026 LYRA CANDIDATO GOVERNADORA PE TSE.jpg | Raquel Lyra | Governor of Pernambuco (2023–present) |
style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSD | File:2026 KRAUSE CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADORA PE TSE.jpg | Priscila Krause | Vice Governor of Pernambuco (2023–present) |
Pernambuco at Heart (PSD, Fed. UPB (UNIÃO and PP), PODE, Fed PSDB-CIDADANIA(PSDB and Cidadania )and AVANTE |
[17][18] |
| 80 | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | File:2026 CAMILA CANDIDATA GOVERNADORA PE TSE.jpg | Professora Camila | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | File:2026 MARCELO CANDIDATO VICE-GOVERNADOR PE TSE.jpg | Marcelo Pessoa | No previous office | N/A | [19] |
- João Campos, civil engineer, President of the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) since 2025, former Mayor of Recife (2021–2026), and former Federal Deputy (2019–2020).[20]
- Raquel Lyra, lawyer and former police chief, Governor of Pernambuco since 2023, former Mayor of Caruaru (2017–2022), and former State Deputy (2011–2016).[21]
- Ivan Moraes, journalist, writer, creator and presenter of the television program Pé Na Rua, and former Recife City Councilor (2017–2024).[22]
Declined or withdrew
- Eduardo Moura, journalist and Recife City Councilor since 2025 (running for Federal Deputy).[23]
Senatorial candidates
Declared candidates
| No. | Senator | Previous office | Alternate | Coalition | Ref. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party Federation |
Candidate | Party | Candidate | |||||||
| 111 | style="background-color:#7DC9FF ;" width=10px | ;| | PP UPB |
File:Eduardo da Fonte 2009.jpg | Eduardo da Fonte | Federal Deputy (2007–2026) |
style="background-color:Template:Brazil Union/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UNIÃO | Carlos Andrade Lima | Pernambuco at Heart (PSD, Fed. UPB (UNIÃO and PP), PODE, and AVANTE) |
[24][25] |
| style="background-color:#7DC9FF ;" width=10px | ;| | PP | Irmã Jane | ||||||||
| 123 | style="background-color:#FF0000;" width=10px | ;| | PDT | File:27 02 2024 - Visita cortesia da presidente do partido Solidariedade-PE, Marília Arraes (53555360707) (cropped).jpg | Marília Arraes | Federal Deputy (2019–2023) |
style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;| | PSB | Abel Neto | Popular Front of Pernambuco (PSB, REP, FE Brasil (PT, PCdoB and PV), PDT, MDB, and Fed. Solidary Renewal (PRD and SD)) |
[11] |
| style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;| | PSB | Edjane Figueiredo | ||||||||
| 130 | style="background-color:#CC0000;" width=10px | ;| | PT FE Brasil |
File:Foto oficial de Humberto Costa.jpg | Humberto Costa | Senator (2011–present) |
style="background-color:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | MDB | Luciano Bivar | Popular Front of Pernambuco (PSB, REP, FE Brasil (PT, PCdoB and PV), PDT, MDB, and Fed. Solidary Renewal (PRD and SD)) |
[11] |
| style="background-color:#CC0000;" width=10px | ;| | PT | Professor Manoel Soares | ||||||||
| 180 | style="background-color:Template:Sustainability Network/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | REDE Fed. PSOL REDE |
File:Paulo Rubem Santiago.jpg | Paulo Rubem Santiago | Federal Deputy (2003–2015) |
style="background-color:Template:Brazilian Communist Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PCB | Cristiano Romão | Pernambuco Fighting Front (Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL and REDE) and PCB) |
[15] |
| style="background-color:#ED040E;" width=10px | ;| | PSOL | Rafah Ramos | ||||||||
| 222 | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PL | File:Michel Temer e Mendonça Filho (cropped).jpg | Mendonça Filho | Federal Deputy (1995–1998, 2011–2019, 2023–present) |
style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PL | Adriana Ferreira | N/A | [26] |
| style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PL | Alcides Cardoso | ||||||||
| 300 | style="background-color:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | NOVO | File:2026 SANT'ANNA CANDIDATO SENADOR PE TSE (99537559491).jpg | Carlos Sant'Anna | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | NOVO | Carla Pinheiro | N/A | [27] |
| style="background-color:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | NOVO | Hermes Alves | ||||||||
| 333 | style="background-color:Template:National Mobilization/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | MOBILIZA | File:2020 PASTOR WELLINGTON CARNEIRO CANDIDATO VICE-PREFEITO PE RECIFE TSE (170000979613).jpg | Pastor Wellington | No previous office | TBC | TBC | N/A | [28] | |
| TBC | TBC | |||||||||
| 355 | style="background-color:Template:Democrat (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | Democrata | Error creating thumbnail: | Pastor Gilvan Costa | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Democrat (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | Democrata | Laelson Costa | N/A | [10] |
| style="background-color:Template:Democrat (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | Democrata | Pastora Simea Carvalho | ||||||||
| 555 | style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSD | File:Túlio Gadêlha em 11 de junho de 2019 (recorte).jpg | Túlio Gadêlha | Federal Deputy (2019–2026) |
style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | PSD | Dulci Amorim | Pernambuco at Heart (PSD, Fed. UPB (UNIÃO and PP), PODE, and AVANTE) |
[29][30] |
| style="background-color:Template:Avante (political party)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | AVANTE | Cacique Marcelo Pankararu | ||||||||
| 800 | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Error creating thumbnail: | Samuel Timoteo | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Dra. Gau | N/A | |
| style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Professor Bruno | ||||||||
| 801 | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Error creating thumbnail: | Gorett Bitú | No previous office | style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Professor Natanael Sarmento | N/A | |
| style="background-color:Template:Popular Unity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;| | UP | Sandra Ramos | ||||||||
Declined or withdrew
- Silvio Costa Filho, civil engineer, former Minister of Ports and Airports (2023–2025), and Federal Deputy since 2019 (running for Federal Deputy).[31]
- Gilson Machado Neto, veterinarian and entrepreneur, former Minister of Tourism (2020–2022), former President of Embratur (2019–2020), and candidate for Mayor of Recife in 2024 (running for Federal Deputy).[32]
- Armando Monteiro Neto, industrialist and economist, former Senator for Pernambuco (2011–2019), former Federal Deputy (1999–2011), former Minister of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade (2015–2016), and candidate for Governor of Pernambuco in 2014 and 2018.[33]
- Silvio Nascimento (PL), President of Embratur (2023–2024) and City Councillor of Caruaru. He abandoned his Senate bid to run for the Chamber of Deputies.[34]
- Miguel Coelho (UNIÃO), Mayor of Petrolina (2017–2024) and former State Deputy. He withdrew so that the unresolved position of the UPB federation would not damage governor Raquel Lyra's candidacy.
Opinion polling
Governor
2026
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Lyra PSD |
Campos PSB |
Hallais MISSÃO |
Moraes PSOL |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample size | Lead | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#ED040E;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||||||
| Real Time Big Data | 29 Aug–2 Sep | 43 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | ±2.0 pp | 1,600 | Tie | [35] |
| Ranking | 29–31 Aug | 49.83 | 37.92 | 0.25 | 0.58 | 0.92[lower-alpha 1] | 10.5 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 11.91 | [36] |
| DataTrends | 25–27 Aug | 45 | 36 | N/A | 1 | <1 | 19 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 9 | [37] |
| Múltipla | 22–24 Aug | 43 | 37 | N/A | 1 | 1 | 18 | ±3.3 pp | 900 | 6 | [38] |
| Genial/Quaest | 21–24 Aug | 44 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0[lower-alpha 2] | 19 | ±3.0 pp | 1,302 | 8 | [39] |
| Contextto | 20–24 Aug | 39 | 41 | 1 | 2 | N/A | 17 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 2 | [40] |
| Datafolha | 18–21 Aug | 47 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 2[lower-alpha 3] | 9 | ±3.0 pp | 1,204 | 7 | [41] |
| Simplex | 16–21 Aug | 46.2 | 36.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 16.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,067 | 10.1 | [42] |
| August 16 | Official campaign period begins | ||||||||||
| Real Time Big Data | 12–15 Aug | 43 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | 1,600 | Tie | [43] |
| DataTrends | 12–14 Aug | 44 | 35 | N/A | 1 | 1 | 19 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 9 | [44] |
| Múltipla | 8–11 Aug | 45 | 41 | 1 | N/A | 1 | 12 | ±3.3 pp | 900 | 4 | [45] |
| Datafolha | 28–30 Jul | 48 | 42 | N/A | 1 | 1[lower-alpha 4] | 7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,022 | 6 | [46] |
| Real Time Big Data | 27–30 Jul | 44 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | ±2.0 pp | 1,600 | 2 | [47] |
| July 29 | MISSÃO formally nominates Renan Hallais for governor | ||||||||||
| Badra | 27–29 Jul | 37.2 | 44.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5[lower-alpha 5] | 16.3 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | 7.4 | [48] |
| Genial/Quaest | 22–26 Jul | 43 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 1[lower-alpha 6] | 17 | ±3.0 pp | 900 | 6 | [49] |
| Folha/IPESPE | 22–25 Jul | 46 | 44 | N/A | 1 | N/A | 8 | ±3.2 pp | 1,000 | 2 | [50] |
| Múltipla | 24–26 Jul | 44 | 40 | N/A | 1 | N/A | 15 | ±3.3 pp | 900 | 4 | [51] |
| Simplex | 15–20 Jul | 48.2 | 36.5 | N/A | 1.1 | N/A | 14.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,067 | 11.7 | [52] |
| Conecta | 8–11 Jul | 42.4 | 40.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | N/A | 16.1 | ±2.14 pp | 2,100 | 2.0 | [53] |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 7–9 Jul | 46.8 | 42.5 | N/A | 1.3 | N/A | 9.4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | 4.3 | [54] |
| Numen Data/Revista Total Brasil | 20–24 Jun | 51.17 | 41.75 | 0.17 | 0.42 | N/A | 7 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 9.42 | [55] |
| Múltipla | 13–16 Jun | 38 | 43 | N/A | 1 | N/A | 17 | ±3.0 pp | 1,070 | 5 | [56] |
| Folha/IPESPE | 11–14 Jun | 44 | 42 | N/A | 2 | N/A | 12 | ±3.2 pp | 1,000 | 2 | [57] |
| Real Time Big Data | 9–10 Jun | 40 | 45 | N/A | 3 | N/A | 12 | ±2.0 pp | 1,600 | 5 | [58] |
| Badra | 9–10 Jun | 41.1 | 44.2 | N/A | 0.8 | 6[lower-alpha 7] | 7.9 | ±3.0 pp | 1,500 | 3.1 | [59] |
| Datafolha | 25–27 May | 48 | 43 | N/A | 2 | N/A | 6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,022 | 5 | [60] |
| Múltipla | 16–20 May | 43 | 39 | N/A | 2 | N/A | 15 | ±3.0 pp | 1,070 | 4 | [61] |
| DataTrends | 30 Apr–3 May | 36 | 42 | N/A | 1 | N/A | 21 | ±1.6 pp | 4,000 | 6 | [62] |
| Veritá | 26–30 Apr | 49.6 | 39.8 | N/A | N/A | 10.6[lower-alpha 8] | N/A | ±2.5 pp | 2,010 | 9.8 | [63] |
| Genial/Quaest | 22–26 Apr | 34 | 42 | N/A | 1 | 3[lower-alpha 9] | 20 | ±3.0 pp | 900 | 8 | [64] |
| Numen Data/Revista Total Brasil | 16–18 Apr | 45.1 | 37.1 | N/A | 2.1 | 4.1[lower-alpha 10] | 11.6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,100 | 8.0 | [65] |
| April 17 | Eduardo Moura (NOVO) announces a run for Federal Deputy, abandoning a gubernatorial candidacy | ||||||||||
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Lyra PSD |
Campos PSB |
Moura NOVO |
Moraes PSOL |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample size | Lead | Link |
| style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#ED040E;" width=10px | ;" | | |||||||||
| Datafolha | 13–15 Apr | 38 | 50 | 3 | 2 | N/A | 7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,022 | 12 | [66] |
| Real Time Big Data | 6–7 Apr | 33 | 50 | 8 | 2 | N/A | 7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,600 | 17 | [67] |
| Simplex | 3–7 Apr | 42.3 | 42.6 | 2.5 | 1 | N/A | 11.6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,067 | 0.3 | [68] |
| Veritá | 24–30 Mar | 41.4 | 41.4 | 2.9 | 4 | 10.2[lower-alpha 11] | N/A | ±2.5 pp | 2,010 | Tie | [69] |
| DataTrends | 23–24 Feb | 35 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 1[lower-alpha 12] | 10 | ±2.83 pp | 1,200 | 13 | [70] |
| Real Time Big Data | 9–10 Feb | 31 | 51 | 8 | 3 | N/A | 7 | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | 20 | [71] |
| Múltipla | 9–10 Feb | 29 | 42 | 4 | 2 | N/A | 23 | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | 13 | [72] |
| Datafolha | 2–5 Feb | 35 | 47 | 5 | 1 | N/A | 12 | ±3.0 pp | 1,022 | 12 | [73] |
2025
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Campos PSB |
Lyra PSD |
Moura NOVO |
Moraes PSOL |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample size | Lead | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:#FC0;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#ED040E;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||||
| Real Time Big Data | 29–30 Dec | 56 | 28 | 7 | 3 | N/A | 6 | ±3 pp | 1,200 | 28 | [74] |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–18 Dec | 53.1 | 31.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | N/A | 11.1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,502 | 22.1 | [75] |
| Real Time Big Data | 9–10 Dec | 55 | 28 | 7 | 3 | N/A | 7 | ±3 pp | 1,200 | 27 | [76] |
| Real Time Big Data | 20–22 Sep | 59 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 5[lower-alpha 13] | 6 | ±3 pp | 1,200 | 35 | [77] |
| Quaest | 13–17 Aug | 55 | 24 | 4 | N/A | 6[lower-alpha 14] | 11 | ±3 pp | 1,104 | 31 | [78] |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 1–5 Aug | 57.0 | 24.0 | 3.0 | N/A | 6.2[lower-alpha 15] | 9.8 | ±2.6 pp | 1,510 | 33.0 | [79] |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 8–12 Mar | 60 | 22.1 | N/A | N/A | 6.1[lower-alpha 16] | 10.5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,652 | 37.9 | [80] |
| Quaest | 19–23 Feb | 56 | 28 | N/A | N/A | 5[lower-alpha 17] | 11 | ±3 pp | 1,104 | 28 | [81] |
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP) 0.42%; Guilherme Fonseca (PSTU) 0.17%; Professor Jeremias do Banco (Democrata) 0.33%; Victor Assis (PCO) 0%.
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP), Guilherme Fonseca (PSTU), Victor Assis (PCO) and Professor Jeremias do Banco (Democrata) registered 0%.
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP) 1%; Guilherme Fonseca (PSTU) 1%; Victor Assis (PCO) and Professor Jeremias do Banco (Democrata) 0%.
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP) 1%.
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP) 0.5%.
- ↑ Camila Falcão (UP) 1%.
- ↑ Anderson Ferreira (PL) 6%.
- ↑ Anderson Ferreira (PL) 5.7%; other candidates 4.9%.
- ↑ Eduardo Moura (NOVO) 3%.
- ↑ Eduardo Moura (NOVO) 4.1%.
- ↑ Anderson Ferreira (PL) 6.2%; Gilson Machado (PL) 3.7%; Alfredo Gomes (Rede) 0.3%.
- ↑ Alfredo Gomes (Rede) 1%.
- ↑ Gilson Machado (PL) 5%.
- ↑ Gilson Machado (PL) 6%.
- ↑ Gilson Machado (PL) 6.2%.
- ↑ Anderson Ferreira (PL) 6.1%.
- ↑ Gilson Machado (PL) 5%.
Senate
2026
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Marília PDT |
Costa PT |
Coelho UNIÃO |
Fonte PP |
Armando PODE |
Anderson PL |
Mendonça PL |
Túlio PSD |
Dueire PSD |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample | Lead | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:#FF0000;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#CC0000;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Brazil Union/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#7DC9FF ;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Podemos (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||||
| Quaest | 22–26 Apr | 18 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | N/A | 6[lower-alpha 1] | 26 | ±3 pp | 900 | 6 | [82] |
| 21 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | N/A | N/A | 6 | N/A | 6[lower-alpha 2] | 36 | 8 | |||||
| 20 | 12 | N/A | 6 | 6 | N/A | 9 | 6 | N/A | 8[lower-alpha 3] | 33 | 8 | |||||
| Datafolha | 13–15 Apr | 42 | 32 | N/A | 17 | 13 | 14 | N/A | 5 | 5 | 9 | 57 | ±3 pp | 1,022 | 10 | [46] |
| 40 | 31 | 16 | N/A | 13 | 14 | N/A | 11 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 9 | |||||
| 41 | 31 | N/A | 17 | 14 | N/A | 16 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 10 | |||||
| 41 | 31 | 16 | N/A | 12 | N/A | 15 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 10 | |||||
| Instituto Opinião | 14–17 Apr | 45.5 | 26.3 | 22.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | 19.2 | [83] |
| Real Time Big Data | 7–8 Apr | 27 | 17 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 18 | 12 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6 | ±2 pp | 1,600 | 7 | [73] |
| 29 | 17 | N/A | 11 | N/A | 19 | 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9 | 10 | |||||
| 28 | 17 | 21 | N/A | N/A | 19 | N/A | 8 | N/A | N/A | 7 | 7 | |||||
| Simplex | 3–7 Apr | ~16 | ~12 | 9 | ~5 | N/A | 7 | N/A | 6 | N/A | N/A | 45 | ±3 pp | 1,067 | ~3 | [84] |
| Veritá | 24–30 Mar | 25.0 | 25.2 | 18.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 31.0 | ±2.5 pp | 2,010 | 0.2 | [85] |
| April 4 | Fernando Dueire leaves the Brazilian Democratic Movement for the Social Democratic Party[86] | |||||||||||||||
| April 1 | Túlio Gadêlha leaves the Sustainability Network for the Social Democratic Party[87] | |||||||||||||||
| March 19 | Silvio Costa Filho (Republicans) announces run for Federal Deputy, abandoning run for Senate[88] | |||||||||||||||
| March 12 | Marília Arraes leaves Solidarity, a part of the Solidary Renewal Federation, for the Democratic Labour Party[89] | |||||||||||||||
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Marília SD |
Costa PT |
Coelho UNIÃO |
Fonte PP |
Armando PODE |
Anderson PL |
Gilson PL |
Silvio REP |
Dueire MDB |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample | Lead | Link |
| style="background-color:Template:Solidarity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#CC0000;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Brazil Union/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#7DC9FF ;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Podemos (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Republicans (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||||
| Real Time Big Data | 9–10 Feb | N/A | 23 | N/A | 13 | N/A | 19 | N/A | 21 | N/A | N/A | 24 | ±2 pp | 2,000 | 2 | [90] |
| N/A | 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19 | N/A | 21 | 9 | N/A | 27 | 3 | |||||
| N/A | 24 | N/A | 14 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21 | N/A | N/A | 24 | 3 | |||||
| N/A | 24 | 24 | N/A | N/A | 20 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 | Tie | |||||
| 27 | 21 | N/A | 13 | N/A | 21 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18 | 6 | |||||
| Datafolha | 2–5 Feb | 36 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 11 | N/A | 10 | 2 | 14[lower-alpha 4] | 55 | ±3 pp | 1,022 | 12 | [91] |
2025
| Pollster firm | Polling period | Marília SD |
Costa PT |
Coelho UNIÃO |
Fonte PP |
Anderson PL |
Gilson PL |
Silvio REP |
Dueire MDB |
Others | Blank Null Undec. |
Error | Sample | Lead | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:Template:Solidarity (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#CC0000;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Brazil Union/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#7DC9FF ;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Republicans (Brazil)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||||
| Real Time Big Data | 29–30 Dec 2025 | N/A | 23 | N/A | 14 | 18 | N/A | 20 | N/A | N/A | 25 | ±3 pp | 1,200 | 3 | [92] |
| N/A | 24 | N/A | N/A | 18 | N/A | 20 | 10 | N/A | 28 | 4 | |||||
| N/A | 24 | N/A | 14 | N/A | 17 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 25 | 4 | |||||
| N/A | 24 | 24 | 10 | 20 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 | Tie | |||||
| 26 | 21 | N/A | 15 | 21 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17 | 5 | |||||
| Real Time Big Data | 9–10 Dec 2025 | N/A | 24 | N/A | 15 | 17 | N/A | 19 | N/A | N/A | 25 | ±3 pp | 1,200 | 5 | [93] |
| N/A | 25 | N/A | N/A | 18 | N/A | 20 | 9 | N/A | 28 | 5 | |||||
| N/A | 24 | N/A | 14 | N/A | 17 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 25 | 4 | |||||
| 26 | 21 | N/A | N/A | 21 | N/A | N/A | 11 | N/A | 21 | Tie | |||||
| N/A | 25 | N/A | 16 | N/A | N/A | 21 | 9 | N/A | 29 | 4 | |||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–18 Dec 2025 | 40.4 | 36.4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17.8 | ±2.6 pp | 1,502 | 4.0 | [94] |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 1–5 Aug 2025 | N/A | 43.2 | 36.7 | N/A | N/A | 28.4 | 20.5 | N/A | N/A | 24.3 | ±2.6 pp | 1,510 | 6.5 | [95] |
Notes
References
- ↑ "PSD confirma filiação de Raquel Lyra em março". CNN Brasil (in português). 2025-02-25. Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ "Raquel Lyra, PSDB, é eleita governadora de Pernambuco". G1 (in português). 2022-10-30. Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ "Vice-governadora de PE, Priscila Krause se filia ao PSDB um dia antes de Raquel trocar sigla pelo PSD". G1 (in português). 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ "Senador Humberto Costa - Senado Federal". www25.senado.leg.br. Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ Brito', 'Aline (2023-09-06). "Senador Jarbas Vasconcelos anuncia aposentadoria: 'Fiz o meu melhor'". Política (in português). Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ "Jarbas Vasconcelos anuncia aposentadoria e renuncia ao cargo de senador". Senado Federal (in português). Retrieved 2026-01-01.
- ↑ "Partido Missão anuncia Renan Hallais como pré-candidato ao governo de Pernambuco". Missão Apoio (in português). 2026-01-16. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "PSTU lança Guilherme Fonseca como pré-candidato ao governo de PE". g1 (in português). 2026-06-29. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Veja a lista de pré-candidatos do PCO nas eleições de 2026". Diário Causa Operária (in português). 2026-02-22. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 "Democrata lança Jeremias Cosmo como candidato ao governo de Pernambuco". g1 (in português). 2026-07-26. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 "PT confirma apoio a João Campos e Humberto Costa em chapa para Senado". g1 (in português). 2026-03-28. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Lima, Taynara (2026-05-11). "Ministro da Previdência reforça apoio do PDT a João Campos". O Povo (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Federação Renovação Solidária declara apoio a João Campos". Folha de Pernambuco (in português). 2026-07-28. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "PSOL lança Ivan Moraes como pré-candidato a governador de PE". g1 (in português). 2025-05-26. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 "Eleições 2026: Federação PSOL/Rede anuncia chapa com Ivan Moraes, Alice Gabino e Paulo Rubem Santiago". Portal CBN Recife (in português). 2026-07-14. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Ivan Moraes recebe apoio do PCB para disputar o governo de Pernambuco". Portal CBN Recife (in português). 2026-07-16. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Sousa, Mariana de (2026-05-08). "Raquel oficializa volta do PP à base governista e manda recado à oposição". Diario de Pernambuco (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Raquel Lyra mantém Priscila Krause na vice e impasse na chapa fica concentrado na disputa pelo Senado". Portal das Cidades PE (in português). 2026-07-07. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Lisboa, Jesse (2026-05-13). "Mulheres são maioria entre pré-candidaturas lançadas pela UP". Jornal A Verdade (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Alves, Pedro; Costa, Iris (2026-04-02). "João Campos renuncia à prefeitura do Recife para concorrer ao governo". G1 (in português). Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ Seixas, Josué (2026-03-19). "João Campos e Raquel Lyra dão largada para eleição em PE com times definidos e disputa por apoio de Lula". Folha de S.Paulo (in português). Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ Costa, Iris (2025-05-26). "PSOL lança Ivan Moraes como pré-candidato a governador de PE". G1 (in português). Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ Medeiros, Amanda (2026-04-17). "Vereador Eduardo Moura anuncia pré-candidatura a deputado federal | Diario de Pernambuco - Conectando gerações desde 1825". www.diariodepernambuco.com.br (in português). Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ Oliveira, Victória (2026-04-18). "Eduardo da Fonte não abre mão de disputar o Senado". Blog Cenário (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "No PSD, Túlio Gadêlha anuncia seus suplentes". Diario de Pernambuco (in português). 2026-08-13. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "PL oficializa candidatura de Mendonça Filho ao Senado por Pernambuco". Portal CBN Recife (in português). 2026-08-04. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Beija, Pedro (2026-04-24). "Novo lança Carlos Sant'Anna como pré-candidato ao Senado em Pernambuco". Jornal do Commercio (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Partido Mobiliza anuncia o Pastor Wellington Carneiro como pré-candidato ao Senado por Pernambuco". Folha de Pernambuco (in português). 2026-05-07. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Túlio Gadêlha se filia ao PSD e lança pré-candidatura ao Senado". g1 (in português). 2026-04-02. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ "Ao apresentar suplentes, Túlio Gadêlha afasta rumores sobre retirada: "Nunca houve desistência"". Diario de Pernambuco (in português). 2026-08-13. Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Alves, Juliana (2026-03-19). "Silvio Costa Filho desiste do Senado e vai concorrer à Câmara". Poder360 (in português). Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ ""O jogo não está posto": Gilson Machado Neto explica saída do PL e adia apoio a Anderson Ferreira". Portal de Prefeitura (in português). 7 April 2026.
- ↑ "Armando Monteiro descarta disputa ao Senado e reafirma apoio a Raquel Lyra - Blog do Elielson" (in português). 2026-04-21. Retrieved 2026-05-11.
- ↑ Maíra, Cynara (2026-07-07). "Anderson Ferreira confirma nome de Silvio Nascimento ao Senado e justifica ausência de nome ao Governo de Pernambuco". Jamildo (in português). Retrieved 2026-08-14.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs namedmultipla-aug - ↑ 46.0 46.1 "Datafolha em Pernambuco: João Campos tem 50%; Raquel Lyra, 38% no 1º turno para o governo do estado". G1 (in português). 2026-04-16. Retrieved 2026-04-19.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs namedmultipla-feb - ↑ 73.0 73.1 "Real Time Big Data: pesquisa para governador de Pernambuco". Gazeta do Povo (in português). 2026-04-08. Retrieved 2026-04-19.
- ↑ "Com 56%, João Campos lidera disputa ao governo de Pernambuco". Poder360 (in português). 2025-12-31. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: João Campos lidera disputa pelo governo de PE com 53%". Poder360 (in português). 2025-12-22. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Real Time Big Data: João Campos tem 55% para o Governo de Pernambuco e Raquel Lyra, 28%". Diario de Pernambuco (in português). 2025-12-11. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Real Time Big Data governo de PE: João Campos tem 59%; Raquel Lyra, 24%". CNN Brasil (in português). 2025-09-23. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Pesquisa Quaest revela novo levantamento para o Governo de Pernambuco". Portal de Prefeitura (in português). 2025-08-22. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: João Campos lidera pesquisa para Pernambuco em 2026". Gazeta do Povo (in português). 2025-08-12. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "PE: João Campos venceria Raquel Lyra em 1° turno, diz Paraná Pesquisas". CNN Brasil (in português). 2025-03-14. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Quaest: João Campos derrotaria Raquel Lyra já no primeiro turno em PE". Congresso em Foco (in português). 2025-02-27. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Quaest: Marília Arraes lidera disputa ao Senado em Pernambuco". CNN Brasil (in português). 2026-04-28. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Pesquisa aponta Marília com 45,5% para Senado, seguida por Humberto e Miguel". Fala News (in português). 2026-04-22. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Marília e Humberto lideram pesquisa Simplex para o senado em PE". Fala News (in português). 2026-04-09. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Pesquisa Veritá: Miguel Coelho, Marília Arraes e Humberto Costa aparecem em disputa acirrada". Portal de Prefeitura (in português). 2026-04-06. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ dellas, redacao blog (2026-04-04). "Fernando Dueire se filia ao PSD e entra na lista de pré-candidatos ao Senado da governadora Raquel Lyra". Blog Dellas (in português). Retrieved 2026-04-20.
- ↑ "Túlio Gadelha entra no PSD e disputa Senado com Raquel Lyra". Vero Notícias (in português). 2026-04-01. Retrieved 2026-04-21.
- ↑ Alves, Juliana (2026-03-19). "Silvio Costa Filho desiste do Senado e vai concorrer à Câmara". Poder360 (in português). Retrieved 2026-04-21.
- ↑ "Marília Arraes troca partido e disputará Senado pelo PDT". Vero Notícias (in português). 2026-03-02. Retrieved 2026-04-21.
- ↑ "Real Time Big Data: pesquisa para governador de Pernambuco". Gazeta do Povo (in português). 2026-04-08. Retrieved 2026-04-19.
- ↑ "Datafolha: Marília Arraes e Humberto Costa lideram disputa ao Senado por Pernambuco". Blog do Elielson (in português). 2026-02-06. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Os favoritos para o Senado por Pernambuco, segundo nova pesquisa". CartaCapital (in português). 2025-12-31. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Real Time Big Data aponta vantagem de Humberto Costa na disputa pelo Senado em 2026". Folha PE (in português). 2025-12-11. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Humberto Costa desponta ao Senado em Pernambuco". Diário do Poder (in português). 2025-12-22. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
- ↑ "Humberto Costa e Miguel Coelho lideram disputa ao Senado em PE". Poder360 (in português). 2025-08-12. Retrieved 2026-05-07.
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