2029 Saxony state election
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All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next election to the Landtag of Saxony is scheduled for 2029, subject to any possible early dissolution of the legislature elected in 2024.[1]
Electoral system
Election date
According to Article 44, paragraph 1, sentence 1 of the Constitution of the Free State of Saxony, the Landtag (state parliament) is elected for a five-year term.[2] Section 16, paragraph 2, sentence 1 of the Saxon Electoral Law stipulates that election day must be no earlier than 58 months and no later than 60 months after the start of the legislative term. In the event of premature dissolution, the election must take place within 60 days.[3] Unlike the Basic Law (Germany's constitution), the Saxon Constitution does not provide for a vote of confidence. Instead, the Saxon Landtag has the right to dissolve itself if two-thirds of the Landtag so decide.[4] The last election took place on 1 September 2024 .
Voters
The Landtag normally has 120 members. This number can increase due to overhang and leveling seats, as last occurred in 2014. Each voter has two votes: a direct vote and a party-list vote, corresponding to the first and second votes in the federal election system. In each of the 60 constituencies, one representative is elected to the state parliament by a relative majority of the direct votes. This includes candidates whose party receives less than 5% of the vote. Since 2024, the 120 seats have been allocated proportionally according to the Sainte-Laguë method, based on party-list votes, among the parties that either win at least 5% of the party-list votes statewide or at least two direct mandates (the so-called basic mandate clause). If a party wins fewer seats in constituencies than it is entitled to in total seats, the remaining seats are allocated to it via the state-wide party list in the order determined there. Its candidates elected in the constituencies are not considered in this allocation.
Background
The CDU won the 2024 state election by a narrow margin over the AfD.[5] However, only the CDU secured a plurality of seats. Both parties received just over 30% of the vote. The BSW followed at a considerable distance, achieving 11.8% of the vote in its first state election. All parties participating in the state government until 2024—the CDU, SPD, and Greens—suffered losses. The SPD achieved its worst election result in Saxony to date, with 7.3%. The Greens narrowly cleared the 5% threshold with 5.1%. The Left Party lost more than half its votes and only entered the state parliament via the basic mandate clause, thanks to two direct mandates in Leipzig. The Free Voters and Free Saxons were roughly tied with 2.3% and 2.2%, respectively. Although the Free Voters also clearly missed the 5% threshold, they entered the 8th Landtag with one representative, having won a direct mandate. The FDP, with 0.9%, finished even behind the Action Party for Animal Welfare (1.0%) and recorded its worst result ever in a state election in Germany up to that point. In addition to the aforementioned parties, nine other lists ran in 2024.[6]
Since the election of the Minister-President on 18 December 2024, Saxony has been governed by the Kretschmer III cabinet, a minority coalition of the CDU and SPD.
| Party | Abbreviation | Seats 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| CDU Saxony | CDU | 41 |
| Alternative for Deutschland | AfD | 40 |
| BSW Saxony | BSW | 15 |
| SPD Saxony | SPD | 10 |
| Alliance 90/The Greens Saxony | Bündnisgrüne | 7 |
| Die Linke Saxony | Die Linke | 6 |
| Free Voters | FW | 1 |
| FDP Saxony | FDP | 0 |
Polls
Opinion polls
| Institute | Date | CDU | AfD | BSW | SPD | Green | Linke | Free Voters | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA[7] | 07.06.2025 | 26 % | 35 % | 11 % | 6 % | 5 % | 9 % | — | 8 % |
| 2025 German federal election | 23.02.2025 | 19.7 % | 37.3 % | 9.0 % | 8.5 % | 6.5 % | 11.3 % | 1.6 % | 6.1 % |
| 2024 Saxony state election | 01.09.2024 | 31.9 % | 30.6 % | 11.8 % | 7.3 % | 5.1 % | 4.5 % | 2.3 % | 6.5 % |
References
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Verfassung". Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Verfassung". Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Sächsisches Wahlgesetz – SächsWahlG". Retrieved 2024-09-13.
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Verfassung". Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Verfassung". Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ↑ "REVOSax Landesrecht Sachsen - Verfassung". Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ↑ "Umfragen Sachsen (#ltwsn)". wahlrecht.de. Retrieved 2025-10-09.
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