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Charles Dumas (economist)

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Charles Dumas is a British author[1] and economist[2]. He currently works as TS Lombard's Chief Economist.[3]

In terms of his career, he has worked as an investment banker and a journalist, as well as being an economist.[4]

As a writer, he has written several books including 'The Bill from the China Shop' (2006), 'Globalisation Fractures: How Major Nations' Interests are now in Conflict' (2010) and 'Populism and Economics' (2018).[5] Additionally, he has worked for The Economist as a journalist and has written numerous freelance articles.[4]

Career[edit]

In 1968, Dumas joined the Conservative Research Department covering tax reform and treasury for three years. He then worked at The Economist as a journalist for a further three years. In 1974 he joined General Motors as a European economist. After six years he moved to JP Morgan International Economics and worked in Capital Markets and then in M&A until 1992. He worked at Kilda Investments for three years until 1995, followed by two years at the London School of Economics[4]. In 1998, he joined Lombard Street Research, which later merged with Trusted Sources to become TS Lombard[6]. Charles became the Chief Economist at Lombard Street Research in 2005[7].

Dumas' most notable forecast was of the GFC in 2006-07, based on the savings-glut concept he had originated in 2004. One of his most notable subsequent calls was for only weak recovery from the financial crisis in 2010 - 2015, specifically because the Chinese recovery was dependent on policies that would cause financial problems and radically slower growth, and that energy and commodity prices would have to fall substantially.[8] In 2011, Charles forecast the return to American primacy in the world economy, and in 2016 he forecast that the US would recover from its slowdown, and would not relapse into recession.[9]

Bibliography[edit]

1985: The Effects of Government Deficits: A Comparative Analysis of Crowding Out; Princeton University Press - Essays in International Economics[10]

2006: The Bill from the China Shop: How Asia's Savings Glut Threatens the World Economy (with Diana Choyleva), Profile Books[11]

2008: China and America: a Time of Reckoning, Profile Books[12]

2010: Globalisation Fractures: How major nations' interest are now in conflict, Profile Books[13]

2011: The American Phoenix: And why China and Europe will struggle after the coming slump (with Diana Choyleva), Profile Books[14]

2018: Populism and Economics, Profile Books[15]

References[edit]

  1. "Charles Dumas". www.goodreads.com.
  2. "Subscribe to read | Financial Times". www.ft.com.
  3. Goodman, Peter S. (March 9, 2020). "Europe Is Probably in Recession. Can Its Leaders Move Fast and Deliver Relief?" – via NYTimes.com.
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 "Speaker details". na.eventscloud.com.
  5. "inauthor:"Charles Dumas" - Google Search". www.google.co.uk.
  6. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/news/lombard-street-research-merges-with-trusted-sources.html
  7. "European Investment Conference". European Investment Conference.
  8. "Charles Dumas Says the Time of Reckoning Has Come for China and America-PR Newswire APAC". en.prnasia.com.
  9. "Just how right have Charles Dumas's calls been?".
  10. "THE EFFECTS OF GOVERNMENT DEFICITS: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF CROWDING OUT". webcache.googleusercontent.com.
  11. Dumas, Charles; Choyleva, Diana (July 27, 2006). "The Bill from the China Shop: How Asia's Savings Glut Threatens the World Economy". Profile Books – via Google Books.
  12. "China And America". www.goodreads.com.
  13. Bello, Walden. "Perspectivas de la economía mundial en 2011". Aporrea.
  14. Lopez, Linette. "New Book: The Reality Is That America Owns China, And China Is Only Just Now Realizing It". Business Insider.
  15. "Subscribe to read | Financial Times". www.ft.com.


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