Metaculus

Metaculus is a prediction game that poses questions about future events to a community of predictors. It was created by physicist Anthony Aguirre (co-founder of the Foundational Questions Institute and of the Future of Life Institute), astrophysicist Gregory P. Laughlin (co-author of The Five Ages of the Universe), David Levine, and Max Wainwright.. Predictors choose between mutually exclusive outcomes of future events or specify a probability from a probability density function for each possible outcome, with player performance measured using Brier scores and log scores

In the media

• "Website Hosts Predictions About Science and Technological Issues" on the China Global Television Network
• "Website Tests Predictive Powers of the Hive Mind" in Science News
• "A Prediction Website with an Eye on Science and Technology" in Yale News
• "Forecasting the Future: Can The Hive Mind Let Us Predict the Future?" on Futurism.com
• "The Crowd Sees Tomorrow Coming" on Inverse.com

See also

• Wisdom of the crowd
• Prediction game
• Prediction market
• PredictIt
• The Good Judgment Project

External links

• Official website
• "Why Not More Excitement About Prediction Aggregation?" on Slate Star Codex
• "The Art of Predicting" on Future of Life Institute

Category:Crowdsourcing Category:Prediction

This article "Metaculus" is from Wikipedia. The list of its authors can be seen in its historical and/or the page Edithistory:Metaculus. Articles copied from Draft Namespace on Wikipedia could be seen on the Draft Namespace of Wikipedia and not main one.

This page exists already on Wikipedia.

---