Polling in Scotland
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Polling in Scotland for next UK General Election
Politics and polling in Scotland often have a different dynamic to the rest of the UK,[1] this often gets lost in larger UK wide articles where this dynamic is not clear, captured or hard to find in huge UK articles. This article also complements 2 other articles that capture the different dynamics in politics and polling in Scotland in particular polling for the Scottish Parliament[2][3] and on the matter of Scottish Independence[4]
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election in Scotland is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The polling companies listed are All members of the British Polling Council (BPC)[5] at the time of polling and abide by its disclosure rules[6]. The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.
The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022.[7] The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met โ unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister โ and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.
Graphical Summary
Polls
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | SNP | Con | LD | Ref | Grn | Alba | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#FAA61A;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#12B6CF;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Scottish Greens/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Alba Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;"| | ||||||
| 27โ30 May 2025 | Norstat[8] | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 20% | 31% | 12% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 1% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 |
| 2โ5 May 2025 | Survation[9] | True North | 1,020 | 19% | 32% | 11% | 11% | 21% | 5% | ๐ฉ | ๐ฉ | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|11 |
| 16โ22 Apr 2025 | Survation[10] | Diffley Partnership | 1,005 | 24% | 33% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 5% | ๐ฉ | ๐ฉ | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 15โ20 Jan 2025 | Find Out Now[11] | Sunday Herald | 1,334 | 18% | 32% | 12% | 9% | 17% | 6% | ๐ฉ | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 11โ14 Jan 2025 | Norstat[12] | The Sunday Times | 1,334 | 18% | 32% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 2% | ๐ฉ | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 7โ13 Jan 2025 | Survation[13] | Holyrood Sources | 1,024 | 24% | 33% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 4% | ๐ฉ | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 17โ24 Dec 2024 | Find Out Now[14] | The National | 1,774 | 20% | 34% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 6% | ๐ฉ | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 4โ6 Dec 2024 | Norstat[15] | The Sunday Times | 1,013 | 20% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;" |11 |
| 1โ15 Nov 2024 | Survation[16] | Progress Scotland | 3,016 | 28% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;" |3 |
| 30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 | Norstat[17] | The Sunday Times | 1,013 | 23% | 30% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;" |7 |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives | |||||||||||
| 10โ13 Sep 2024 | Survation[18] | Progress Scotland | 2,059 | 31% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ๐ฉ | Tie |
| 5โ11 Sep 2024 | Opinium[19] | The Sunday Times | 1,028 | 25% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 7% | ๐ฉ | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|7 |
| 20โ22 Aug 2024 | Norstat[20] | The Sunday Times | 1,011 | 32% | 29% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ; color:#ffffff;" |3 |
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 General Election Result | โ | 35.3% | 30.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ;color:#FFFFFF;"|5.3 | |
UK polls with Scottish Subset
This section captures data from UK wide polls that have a Scottish sub set, these produce very small sample sizes and should be viewed with caution as margin of error will be in the region of +-10% [21]Margin of error for full poll with sample of 1000 is +-3%
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | SNP | Con | LD | Ref | Grn | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#FAA61A;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:#12B6CF;" width=10px | ;" | | style="background-color:Template:Scottish Greens/meta/color;" width=10px | ;" | | ||||||
| 15โ16 Jun 2025 | YouGov[22] | The Times/Sky News | 196 | 23% | 41% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|18 |
| 13โ16 Jun 2025 | More in Common[23] | 83 | 18% | 37% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|19 | |
| 11 Jun 2025 | Find Out Now[24] | 128 | 22% | 32% | 7% | 11% | 22% | 4% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | |
| 8โ9 Jun 2025 | YouGov[25] | The Times/Sky News | 191 | 17% | 33% | 7% | 11% | 28% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|5 | |
| 6โ9 Jun 2025 | More in Common[26] | 107 | 19% | 33% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 6% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | |
| 4 Jun 2025 | Find Out Now[27] | 96 | 14% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 25% | 8% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|6 | |
| 1โ2 Jun 2025 | YouGov[28] | The Times/Sky News | 144 | 17% | 38% | 7% | 7% | 24% | 3% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 30 May – 2 Jun 2025 | More in Common[29] | 107 | 24% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 9% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|1 | ||
| 30 May – 2 Jun 2025 | Survation[30] | 76 | 23% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 20% | 2% | 9% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 | |
| 28โ30 May 2025 | Opinium[31] | The Observer | 116 | 19% | 33% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 4% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|13 |
| 28 May 2025 | Find Out Now[32] | 114 | 13% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 32% | 4% | 1% | style="background-color:#12B6CF;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|6 | |
| 26โ27 May 2025 | YouGov[33] | The Times/Sky News | 133 | 17% | 23% | 13% | 12% | 24% | 7% | 4% | style="background-color:#12B6CF;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|1 |
| 23โ26 May 2025 | More in Common[34] | 123 | 16% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 24% | 4% | 4% | Tie | |
| 21 May 2025 | Find Out Now[35] | 108 | 13% | 28% | 6% | 19% | 20% | 10% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | |
| 19 May 2025 | YouGov[36] | The Times/Sky News | 146 | 19% | 28% | 8% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 16โ19 May 2025 | More in Common[37] | 93 | 16% | 26% | 12% | 14% | 23% | 8% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|3 | |
| 14โ16 May 2025 | Opinium[38] | The Observer | 113 | 21% | 31% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 |
| 14 May 2025 | Find out Now[39] | 118 | 16% | 30% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 8% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | |
| 11โ12 May 2025 | YouGov[40] | The Times/Sky News | 201 | 15% | 36% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 6% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|18 |
| 10โ12 May 2025 | More in Common[41] | 89 | 18% | 32% | 16% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 | |
| 7 May 2025 | Find out Now[42] | 97 | 9% | 34% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 9% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|13 | |
| 6 May 2025 | YouGov[43] | The Times/Sky News | 151 | 15% | 35% | 8% | 9% | 26% | 6% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 3โ4 May 2025 | More In Common[44] | 113 | 17% | 29% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 7% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 | |
| 30 Apr – 2 May 2025 | Opinium[45] | The Observer | 122 | 17% | 35% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 5% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 |
| 30 Apr – 2 May 2025 | Survation[46] | 93 | 33% | 35% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|2 | |
| 30 Apr 2025 | FindoutNow[47] | 93 | 15% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 | |
| 28 Apr 2025 | YouGov[48] | The Times/Sky News | 147 | 20% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 8% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|15 |
| 23โ25 Apr 2025 | Opinium Archived 2025-04-26 at the Wayback Machine[49] | The Observer | 138 | 21% | 32% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 6% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|11 |
| 23 Apr 2025 | FindoutNow[50] | 99 | 16% | 33% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|16 | |
| 21โ22 Apr 2025 | YouGov[51] | The Times/Sky News | 175 | 14% | 32% | 9% | 11% | 23% | 8% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 17โ21 Apr 2025 | More in Common[52] | 111 | 19% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 18% | 5% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | |
| 16 Apr 2025 | FindoutNow[53] | 118 | 22% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|11 | |
| 13โ14 Apr 2025 | YouGov[54] | The Times/Sky News | 209 | 16% | 40% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 5% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|22 |
| 11โ14 Apr 2025 | Focaldata[55] | 80 | 26% | 29% | 25% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|3 | |
| 9 Apr 2025 | FindoutNow[56] | 136 | 18% | 25% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|7 | |
| 6โ7 Apr 2025 | YouGov[57] | The Times/Sky News | 209 | 16% | 31% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 2โ4 Apr 2025 | FindoutNow[58] | 120 | 19% | 38% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 6% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|19 | |
| 30โ31 Mar 2025 | YouGov[permanent dead link][59] | The Times/Sky News | 208 | 17% | 29% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 5% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 28โ31 Mar 2025 | More in Common[60] | 116 | 19% | 24% | 22% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|2 | |
| 26โ28 Mar 2025 | Opinium[61] | The Observer | 120 | 14% | 38% | 12% | 7% | 21% | 2% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 |
| 26โ27 Mar 2025 | BMG[62] | iPaper | 101 | 23% | 36% | 15% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|13 |
| 26 Mar 2025 | FindoutNow[63] | 126 | 12% | 34% | 12% | 9% | 16% | 12% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|18 | |
| 22โ24 Mar 2025 | More in Common[64] | 107 | 21% | 29% | 19% | 9% | 20% | 3% | 0% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | |
| 23โ24 Mar 2025 | YouGov[65] | The Times/Sky News | 203 | 15% | 32% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 6% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 |
| 19โ21 Mar 2025 | Opinium[66] | The Observer | 130 | 20% | 30% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 2% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 |
| 16โ17 Mar 2025 | YouGov[67] | The Times/Sky News | 201 | 23% | 30% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 7% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|7 |
| 14โ17 Mar 2025 | DeltaPoll[68] | 171 | 21% | 38% | 19% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 | |
| 12 Mar 2025 | FindoutNow[69] | 140 | 16% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 23% | 4% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | |
| 9โ10 Mar 2025 | YouGov | The Times/Sky News | 199 | 16% | 31% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|14 |
| 7โ10 Mar 2025 | More in Common | 119 | 28% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 16% | % | 1% | style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ; color:#ffffff;" |2 | |
| 5โ7 Mar 2025 | Opinium | The Observer | 125 | 21% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 22% | 7% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 |
| 5 Mar 2025 | FindoutNow | 130 | 22% | 31% | 16% | 10% | 15% | 6% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 | |
| 02โ3 Mar 2025 | YouGov | The Times | 193 | 21% | 32% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 6% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|11 | |
| 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2025 | More in Common | 193 | 24% | 27% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|3 | ||
| 26 Feb 2025 | FindoutNow | 138 | 15% | 31% | 12% | 11% | 24% | 7% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|7 | |
| 23โ24 Feb 2025 | YouGov | The Times | 210 | 17% | 39% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 4% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|22 |
| 21โ24 Feb 2025 | More in Common | 108 | 17% | 29% | 18% | 11% | 19% | 7% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | ||
| 19โ21 Feb 2025 | Opinium | The Observer | 119 | 17% | 36% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 6% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|19 |
| 19 Feb 2025 | FindoutNow | 102 | 26% | 30% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|4 | |
| 16โ17 Feb 2025 | YouGov | 212 | 22% | 34% | 8% | 7% | 22% | 6% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|12 | ||
| 14โ18 Feb 2025 | More in Common | 199 | 22% | 31% | 13% | 12% | 18% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|9 | ||
| 11โ14 Feb 2025 | YouGov | The Times | 193 | 21% | 32% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 6% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|11 | |
| 9โ10 Feb 2025 | YouGov | 107 | 23% | 27% | 14% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|3 | |
| 7โ10 Feb 2025 | More in Common | 107 | 17% | 38% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|19 | |
| 5โ7 Feb 2025 | Opinium | The Observer | 124 | 15% | 36% | 12% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|13 |
| 5โ6 Feb 2025 | Find Out Now | 117 | 18% | 30% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|12 | |
| 2โ3 Feb 2025 | YouGov | Sky News | 215 | 15% | 34% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 5% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 |
| 28โ29 Jan 2025 | BMG | 104 | 27% | 35% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | |
| 25 Jan 2025 | YouGov[70] | 147 | 21% | 34% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|13 | ||
| 22โ23 Jan 2025 | Whitestone Insight | 136 | 22% | 32% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 2% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | |
| 20 Jan 2025 | YouGov[71] | 159 | 16% | 36% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 5% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|20 | ||
| 17โ20 Jan 2025 | More in Common | 124 | 24% | 26% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|2 | ||
| 13 Jan 2025 | YouGov[72] | 147 | 23% | 33% | 14% | 8% | 18% | 7% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|10 | ||
| 6โ8 Jan 2025 | More in Common[permanent dead link] | 124 | 20% | 30% | 18% | 10% | 17% | 3% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|8 | ||
| 8 Jan 2025 | Find Out Now | 102 | 18% | 35% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 1% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|17 | |
| 8โ10 Jan 2025 | Opinium | 125 | 25% | 28% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 5% | 4% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|3 | |
| 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025 | Deltapoll | Mail on Sunday | 104 | 17% | 32% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 8% | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | ; color:black;"|15 |
Target Seats
Identified potential target seats using calculation of requiring 5% swing or less from winning party at the 2024 General Election for the seat to change hands. For those parties with no target seats using this calculation shows the three seats with smallest swing required for that party to win a seat. Each Constituency is linked to data about that Constituency that includes details about the 2024 General Election result.
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee Central[73] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 0.87% |
| 2 | Arbroath and Broughty Ferry [74] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 0.97% |
| 3 | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey [75] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 1.05% |
| 4 | Aberdeen North [76] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 2.09% |
| 5 | Aberdeen South [77] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 4.05% |
| 6 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale [78] | style="background-color:#318CE7;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 5.49% |
Scottish National Party
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gordon and Buchan[79] | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 1.00% |
| 2 | Dumfries and Galloway[80] | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 1.02% |
| 3 | Stirling and Strathallan[81] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 1.40% |
| 4 | Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire[82] | style="background-color:#FAA61A;" width=10px | " | | Liberal Democrats | 2.25% |
| 5 | West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine[83] | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 3.51% |
| 6 | Livingston[84] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 3.93% |
| 7 | Edinburgh East and Musselburgh[85] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 4.08% |
| 8 | Glenrothes and Mid Fife[86] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 4.09% |
| 9 | Ayrshire North and Arran[87] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 4.20% |
| 10 | Glasgow South West[88] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 4.60% |
| 11 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale[78] | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 4.80% |
| 12 | Glasgow South[89] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 4.90% |
| 13 | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch[90] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 5.06% |
| 14 | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock[91] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 5.07% |
| 15 | Glasgow North[92] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 5.09% |
| 16 | Glasgow East[93] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 5.34% |
| 17 | Falkirk[94] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 5.86% |
Liberal Democrats
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South[95] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 9.16% |
| 2 | Gordon and Buchanh[96] | style="background-color:#318CE7;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 14.22% |
| 3 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine[97] | style="background-color:#318CE7;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 15.62% |
Conservative
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey[75] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 1.08% |
| 2 | Aberdeenshire North and Moray East[98] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 1.23% |
| 3 | Perth and Kinross-shire[99] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 4.12% |
| 4 | Aberdeen South[77] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 4.22% |
| 5 | Angus and Perthshire Glens[100] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 5.14% |
Greens
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumfries and Galloway[80] | style="background-color:#318CE7;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 13.44% |
| 2 | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey[75] | style="background-color:#FEF987;" width=10px | " | | Scottish National Party | 14.25% |
| 3 | Glasgow South[89] | style="background-color:Template:Labour Party/meta/color;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 14.35% |
Reform UK
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2024 | Swing required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale[78] | style="background-color:#0087DC;" width=10px | " | | Conservative Party | 15.69% |
| 2 | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock[91] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 17.67% |
| 3 | Aberdeen South[101] | style="background-color:#DC241f;" width=10px | " | | Labour Party | 17.81% |
MPs not seeking re-election
| MP | Constituency | First elected | Affiliation | Date announced | Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Constituency name | Year elected | Date announced | Current Position held | ||
See also
- List of political parties in Scotland
- Opinion polling on Scottish independence
- Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Polling in Scotland for 2024 United Kingdom general election
Notes
References
- โ "Blog โ Scottish Election Study". October 1, 2024.
- โ "The Scottish Parliament". www.parliament.scot.
- โ "Political representation in Scotland".
- โ "Scottish independence". 18 September 2024.
- โ "The British Polling Council (BPC)". British Polling Council.
- โ "The British Polling Council- Rules of disclosre(BPC)". British Polling Council.
- โ "Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022". www.legislation.gov.uk.
- โ "Norstat 30/5/2025" (PDF).
- โ "Survation 5/5/2025".
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 22nd April 2025". May 2025. Retrieved 1 May 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 20th January 2025". Retrieved 21 March 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 14th January 2025" (PDF). Retrieved 19 March 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 25th January 2025". Retrieved 19 March 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 20th January 2025". Retrieved 13 April 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 8th Dec 2025" (PDF). Retrieved 13 April 2025.
- โ "Voting intention:Data Tables 16th November 2024". Retrieved 13 April 2025.
- โ https://aws.norstat.no/uk-political-polling/ST%20Tables%20for%20publication%20051124.pdf
- โ https://cdn.survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/18163445/PSTablesSeptember24.xlsx
- โ https://www.opinium.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/UK26631-Opinium-The-Times-10-Years-Since-Indyref-Tables.xlsx
- โ https://aws.norstat.no/uk-political-polling/ST%20Tables%20for%20publication%20240824.pdf
- โ "Margin of Error - notes for journalists". 5 November 2018.
- โ "Voting intention: 16th JunMay 2025" (PDF). 17 Jun 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 11th Jun 2025". Retrieved 13 Jun 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 9th JunMay 2025". 10 Jun 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 4th Jun 2025". Retrieved 6 Jun 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 2nd Jun 2025".
- โ "Voting intention: 2nd Jun 2025". Retrieved 3 Jun 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 30th May 2025". Retrieved 1 Jun 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 28th May 2025". Retrieved 30 May 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 21st May 2025". Archived from the original on 23 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 7th May 2025". Retrieved 8 May 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 28th Apr 2025". Retrieved 30 April 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 26th March 2025". Archived from the original on 2025-04-26. Retrieved 27 April 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 23rd April 2025". Retrieved 24 April 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 22nd Apr 2025" (PDF). Retrieved 23 April 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 17th April 2025". Retrieved 17 April 2025.
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- โ "Voting intention: 17th March 2025" (PDF). Retrieved 20 March 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 12th March 2025". Retrieved 14 March 2025.
- โ "Voting intention: 25th Jan 2025". Retrieved 30 April 2025.
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- โ "Result of 2024 GE Dundee Central". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Arbroath and Broughty Ferry". 24 July 2024.
- โ 75.0 75.1 75.2 "Result of 2024 GE Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Aberdeen North". 24 July 2024.
- โ 77.0 77.1 "Result of 2024 GE Aberdeen South". 24 July 2024.
- โ 78.0 78.1 78.2 "Result of 2024 GE Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Gordon and Buchan". 24 July 2024.
- โ 80.0 80.1 "Result of 2024 GE Dumfries and Galloway". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Stirling and Strathallan". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Livingston". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Edinburgh East and Musselburgh". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Glenrothes and Mid Fife". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Ayrshire North and Arran". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Glasgow South West". 24 July 2024.
- โ 89.0 89.1 "Result of 2024 GE Glasgow South". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch". 24 July 2024.
- โ 91.0 91.1 "Result of 2024 GE Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Glasgow Nort". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Glasgow East". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Falkirk". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Gordon and Buchan". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Aberdeenshire West and Kincardin". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Aberdeenshire North and Moray East". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Perth and Kinross-shire". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Angus and Perthshire Glens". 24 July 2024.
- โ "Result of 2024 GE Aberdeen Sout". 24 July 2024.
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