RacetotheWH

RacetotheWH is a political prediction website created by Logan Phillips in 2020. It has been notable for being very accurate compared to the final election results.

Accuracy

2020

In 2020, RacetotheWH forecasted the Presidential and Senate contests, and missed only three states in both. In the Presidential forecast, it incorrectly called Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina for Joe Biden.

For the Senate, RacetotheWH incorrectly expected Theresa Greenfield, Sara Gideon, and Cal Cunningham to prevail in their Senate races.

Regardless, it was one of the most accurate forecasts in the 2020 election cycle.

2021

In 2021, RacetotheWH forecasted the New York City mayoral election, which used instant-runoff voting. It correctly predicted Eric Adams's victory over Kathryn Garcia.

2022

RacetotheWH was one of the only forecasts to successfully predict that the Democrats would hold the Senate. It called only one race incorrectly, guessing that Adam Laxalt would defeat incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada.

Its prediction for the House was off by only 1.2 seats.

Seats incorrectly called: CA-13 CA-27 NC-13 NM-2 NV-1 NV-3 NY-17 OH-13 OR-5 PA-7 RI-2 VA-2 WA-3

It called Arizona's gubernatorial election for Kari Lake and Wisconsin's for Tim Michels

References

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