United States presidential election, 2024
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The United States presidential election of 2024 will be the 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election.
U.S. presidential elections are scheduled on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Following that schedule, the 2024 elections are to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.[1] At present, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held to determine the nominees of the major parties. According to an election calendar of Essex County, Virginia, Virginia has scheduled a presidential primary for March 5, 2024, subject to the primary being actually held.[1]
Nominations[edit]
There are no current nominations.
Republican Party[edit]
Declared candidates[edit]
- [[None)],
Expressed Interest[edit]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri [2]
- Ben Shapiro, conservative commentator[3]
- Dwayne Johnson, actor and wrestler[4]
- Kanye West, rapper[5]
Potential candidates[edit]
- Justin Amash, Representative from Michigan [6][7][8]
- Kelly Ayotte, former Senator from New Hampshire [9]
- Diane Black, Representative from Tennessee [9]
- Marsha Blackburn, Representative from Tennessee [9]
- Scott Brown, Ambassador to Samoa[10]
- George P. Bush, Texas Land Commissioner[11] Jeb Bush's son, grandson and nephew to the President Bush's, George Bush has long been rumored as the next Bush to seek the Presidency.
- Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida [12]
- Chris Christie, former Governor of New Jersey [13]
- Tom Cotton, Senator from Arkansas [14][15]
- Ted Cruz, Senator from Texas[16]
- Mark Cuban, investor[17] has spoken about running.
- Joni Ernst, Senator from Iowa [9]
- Jeff Flake, Senator from Arizona [18][19][20]
- Nikki Haley, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations[21]
- Mia Love, Representative from Utah [22]
- Susana Martinez, Governor of New Mexico [9]
- Kristi Noem, Representative, R-SD[9]
- Rand Paul, Senator, R-KY[23]
- Mike Pence, Vice President[24]
- Kim Reynolds Governor, R-IA[9]
- Condoleezza Rice, former Secretary of State[25]
- Marco Rubio, Senator from Florida[26]
- Paul Ryan, Speaker, R-WI[27]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Representative, R-WA[28]
- Ben Sasse, Senator, R-NE[29]
- Tim Scott, Senator, R-SC[30]
- Ryan Zinke, Secretary of the Interior[31]
Democratic Party[edit]
Expressed Interest[edit]
- Dwayne Johnson, actor and wrestler[32]
- Mark Cuban, investor[17] has spoken about running.
Potential candidates[edit]
- Neil Abercrombie, Former Governor, D-HI[33]
- Cory Booker, Senator, D-NJ[34]
- Julian Castro, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development[35]
- Mark Cuban, investor[17]
- Wendy Davis, former Texas state senator[33]
- Tammy Duckworth, Senator, D-IL[33]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, Senator, D-NY[33]
- Kamala Harris, Senator, D-CA[9]
- Tim Kaine, Senator, D-VA[33]
- Ken Salazar, former Secretary of the Interior[36]
- Elizabeth Warren, Senator, D-MA[33]
Independents[edit]
Potential candidates[edit]
- Dwayne Johnson, actor and wrestler[37]
- Mark Cuban, investor[17] has spoken about running.
Impact of demographic changes[edit]
The election has been the early topic of attention by analysts and commentators as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reallocation of electors in the United States Electoral College occurring as a result of the 2020 United States Census.[38][39] This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election before being reapportioned again for the 2032 election.[40]
In a study of the implications of redistribution of electors in 2024 published in Perspectives on Politics, University of Georgia political scientist Edward Burmila concluded that:[41]
Democratic presidential candidates will find it increasingly difficult to win elections without having some success in the South and Southwest as Barack Obama did in 2008 but many previous candidates failed to do. While illegal immigration will also benefit some solid Democratic states such as California, on balance Republican presidential candidates are poised to benefit from the status of Sun Belt states as magnets for both foreign immigration and domestic migration from a retirement cohort of unprecedented size.
In a separate analysis for Real Clear Politics, Sean Trende predicted a less significant movement of three electoral votes from traditionally Democratic Party states to those that traditionally support Republican candidates during the redistribution of electors that will occur for the 2024 election.[42]
Though geography has been said to favor a Republican candidate in the 2024 election, some have noted that demographic trends may help a Democratic candidate if current group party affinities continue to hold in 2024. Ethnic minorities are predicted to constitute 40-percent of eligible voters age 30 to 44, a constituency described as "ripe for Democratic retention." As a possible rejoinder, however, the unusually large baby boomer generation will enter the 65+ age range in 2024. According to the Brookings Institution, these older voters "will be easier for the Republican Party to retain if current generational voting affinities continue."[43]
A report by the American Enterprise Institute also predicts that the aging white population could result in an increase in Republican support, leading to a Republican lead in the 2020 and 2024 elections, but that this will be followed by Democratic advantages in 2028 and 2032. However, the report also suggests that increased minority turnout could shift solidly Republican states toward the "swing" category, overcoming the shift of the aging population and resulting in a Democratic win in 2024.[44]
In popular culture[edit]
- In an episode of the NBC television sitcom "Parks and Recreation", character Leslie Knope reveals she plans to stand in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.[45]
- In the 2015 series finale of the FOX musical comedy series "Glee", character Sue Sylvester announces she plans to stand in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.[46]
- A 2008 feminist advocacy documentary by Amy Sewell, "What's Your Point Honey?", follows the lives of seven women selected as part of a 16-year plan to "groom" potential candidates for the 2024 U.S. presidential election.[47]
References[edit]
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 "Election Planning Calendar" (PDF). essex-virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Retrieved 6 February 2016.
- ↑ https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/article180786481.html
- ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-0tbQ7Bz1w%7Ctitle=Ben Shapiro Talks About Running for President in 2024
- ↑ Diaz, Johnny. "Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson won't run for president in 2020. But maybe 2024?".
- ↑ https://consequenceofsound.net/2018/04/presumptive-republican-nominee-kanye-west-confirms-2024-candidacy/
- ↑ "Report: Is Justin Amash considering a 2020 primary challenge to Trump?". The Liberty Conservative. 9 August 2017.
- ↑ {{cite web|url=http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/345656-the-five-kinds-of-republicans-who-could-primary-trump%7Ctitle=The five kinds of Republicans who could primary Trump|first=Ian|last=Swanson|date=7 August 2017|publisher=The Hill
- ↑ https://twitter.com/justinamash/status/719331364915560449
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 "Will America Ever Have a Woman President?".
- ↑ https://fiscalnote.com/2014/07/16/presidential-politics-part-1-2020-2024/
- ↑ Goddard, Jacqui. "Tale of two Hispanic hopefuls: Julian Castro and George P Bush to go head-to-head for presidency?". Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/forget-about-2016-heres-the-early-look-at-the-white-house-in-2031/2015/08/07/43e8dcd4-3c81-11e5-b3ac-8a79bc44e5e2_story.html?utm_term=.2f108cd0e29e
- ↑ https://www.quora.com/If-Donald-Trump-is-elected-what-do-you-think-the-2024-Presidential-Election-will-be-like-If-Hillary-Clinton-is-elected-what-will-2024-be-like
- ↑ Kristol, William (2012-05-24). "The Man from Yell". Weekly Standard. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ Humphrey, Blake (2014-12-01). "Meet the Freshmen: Tom Cotton". OUTSET. Outset Magazine. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ https://www.quora.com/If-Donald-Trump-is-elected-what-do-you-think-the-2024-Presidential-Election-will-be-like-If-Hillary-Clinton-is-elected-what-will-2024-be-like
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 Pierce, Charles (23 May 2016). "President-to-Be Mark Cuban Sees 'Too Much Uncertainty' with the Economy". Esquire. Retrieved 24 May 2016.
- ↑ Thomsen, Jacqueline (May 27, 2018). "Flake doesn't rule out challenging Trump in 2020". The Hill. Retrieved May 31, 2018.
- ↑ "Jeff Flake considers 2020 primary bid to challenge Trump". CBS News. March 16, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2018.
- ↑ <https://spectator.us/2018/10/jeff-flake-2020/
- ↑ "Nikki Haley: Why the US might see an Indian American running for president in 2024". 26 October 2018 – via The Economic Times.
- ↑ https://www.thetoptens.com/candidates-for-2024-u-s-presidential-election/
- ↑ https://www.thetoptens.com/candidates-for-2024-u-s-presidential-election/
- ↑ "The Future of Political Hacking - National Review". 19 July 2018.
- ↑ https://www.thetoptens.com/candidates-for-2024-u-s-presidential-election/
- ↑ http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/sen-marco-rubio-seeks-new-path-in-donald-trumps-dc/2311062
- ↑ http://video.foxnews.com/v/5768267226001/?#sp=show-clips
- ↑ https://fiscalnote.com/2014/07/16/presidential-politics-part-1-2020-2024/
- ↑ http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/06/ben_sasse_and_tom_cotton_have_competing_visions_for_the_future_of_the_republican.html
- ↑ "Tim Scott for president? Iowa and New Hampshire visits get people talking".
- ↑ "Who do GOP voters like for 2024 Iowa Caucuses?".
- ↑ Diaz, Johnny. "Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson won't run for president in 2020. But maybe 2024?".
- ↑ 33.0 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.5 Spinks, Jenna (2014-07-17). "Presidential Politics Part I: 2020 & 2024". FiscalNote. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ Sathish, Madhuri. "Who Will Run for President in 2020". www.bustle.com. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ Goddard, Jacqui. "Tale of two Hispanic hopefuls: Julian Castro and George P Bush to go head-to-head for presidency?</ref". Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-05-24.
- ↑ Howard Gutman (August 7, 2015). "Forget about 2016. Here's an early look at Campaign 2024 and beyond". Washington Post.
- ↑ Diaz, Johnny. "Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson won't run for president in 2020. But maybe 2024?".
- ↑ McArdle, Megan (May 21, 2015). "2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024?". Bloomberg. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ↑ Janda, Kenneth (2013). The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics. Wadsworth. p. 218. ISBN 1133602304. Search this book on
- ↑ Neale, Thomas (2012). The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections (PDF). Congressional Research Service. Retrieved October 30, 2015. Search this book on
- ↑ Burmila, Edward (December 2009). "The Electoral College after Census 2010 and 2020: The Political Impact of Population Growth and Redistribution". Perspectives on Politics. 7 (4).
- ↑ Trende, Sean (December 30, 2013). "Population Data Show More Movement South and West". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ↑ "Today's race and generational voting preferences cannot predict future election outcomes". brookings.org. Brookings Institution. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ↑ Frey, William H; Teixeira, Ruy; Griffin, Robert (Feb 2016), America's Electoral Future (PDF), States of Change, American Enterprise InstituteCS1 maint: Uses authors parameter (link)
- ↑ "Vice President Joe Biden Breaks Hearts on Parks and Recreation—Watch the Video". E! Online. 3 November 2012. Retrieved 6 February 2016.
- ↑ Hinckley, David (19 March 2015). "'Glee' finale flashes back to the start, then forward to the 'New Directions' future". New York Daily News. Retrieved 6 February 2016.
- ↑ Finn, Robin (30 May 2008). "A Knack for Putting Feminism on Film". New York Times. Retrieved 6 February 2016.
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