Next Senedd election

Next Senedd election

On or before 2 May 2030
All 96 seats to the Senedd 49 seats needed for a majority
Leader Rhun ap Iorwerth Dan Thomas TBD Party Plaid Cymru Reform UK Wales Labour Leader since 16 June 2023 5 February 2026 2026 (TBD) Leader's seat Bangor Conwy Môn Casnewydd Islwyn Last election 43 seats, 35.4% 34 seats, 29.3% 9 seats, 11.1% Current seats 43 34 9   Leader Darren Millar Anthony Slaughter Jane Dodds Party Conservative Wales Green Party Liberal Democrats Leader since 5 December 2024 December 2018 3 November 2017 Leader's seat Clwyd Caerdydd Penarth Brycheiniog Tawe Nedd Last election 7 seats, 10.7% 2 seats, 6.7% 1 seat, 4.5% Current seats 7 2 1
Incumbent First Minister Rhun ap Iorwerth Plaid Cymru

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An election for the Senedd (Welsh Parliament; ) is due to held on 2 May 2030, to elect all 96 members to the Senedd. Under the provisions of the Senedd Cymru (Members and Elections) Act 2024, Senedd terms were reduced from five-year to four-year terms since the previous election. It will be the eighth devolved general election since the Senedd (formerly the National Assembly for Wales) was established in 1999.

Electoral system

See also: Senedd constituencies

The Senedd has 96 members, elected through closed list proportional representation (using the D'Hondt method) in sixteen six-member constituencies. A boundary review modifying the boundaries of the 16 constituencies is expected prior to the 2030 election.

Voters are given one ballot, and vote for a political party or an independent candidate. The six members in their constituency are then distributed proportionally to the parties based on how many votes they received, electing the candidates in the order on their ranked party list. The ballot paper shows the list of (up to) eight candidates next to each party in order.

In the event that an elected Senedd member resigns, dies, or otherwise leaves office during the term, they are replaced by the member below them on their party's list. Should the relevant party's list for that constituency be exhausted, the seat remains vacant for the remainder of the term.

Opinion polling

No opinion polls have yet been held for the 2030 election.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	PC	Ref	Lab	Con	Grn	LD	Others	Lead
				style="background-color:#008142;" width=10px | ;"|	style="background-color:#12B6CF;" width=10px | ;"|	style="background-color:#E4003B;" width=10px | ;" |	style="background-color:Template:Welsh Conservatives/meta/color;" width=10px | ;"|	style="background-color:Template:Wales Green Party/meta/color;" width=10px | ;"|	style="background-color:Template:Welsh Liberal Democrats (2025)/meta/color;" width=10px | ;"|
7 May 2026	2026 Senedd election		–	35.4%	29.3%	11.1%	10.7%	6.7%	4.5%	2.3%	style="background-color:#008142;" width=10px | ;color:#FFFFFF;" |6.1

References

Template:Welsh elections

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